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Current Win Probability
Al-Shahania 13.2%
Draw 18.2%
Al-Rayyan 68.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.5%
20.3%
65.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.2%
19.9%
66.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shahania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shahania than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-2%)
Al Shahania - Al Rayyan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Ellethy S. (G) 2. Simo 22. van Beek S. 5. Muniesa M. (C) 21. El Jemili J. 66. Abweny A. 32. Muftah K. 30. Al Wadie M. 10. Antonucci F. 88. Mutasem M. 9. van Amersfoort P.
57. Abunada M. (G) 21. Yousif A. 13. Amaro A. 5. Garcia D. (C) 12. Al Minhali A. 30. Alaaeldin A. 8. Gaber J. 11. Gabriel Pereira 10. Roger Guedes 77. Tiago Silva 7. Wesley
Substitutes
79. Al Muhannadi A. 77. Al Raeesi Y. 17. Al Yazidi K. 19. Balah M. 3. Diakite D. 44. Jorge A. 16. Kadik M. (G) 8. Madjer L. 27. Mohammed A. 7. Mussed A. 6. Sanz A. 4. Sayyar M.
3. Ahmed H. 94. Al Qahtani A. 14. Bader A. 22. Beldi S. (G) 20. Mahajna A. 18. Mamdouh B. 31. Mazen S. (G) 27. Moustafa Asar 2. Naji M. 23. Noman F. 55. Saleh M.
Coaches
Denia S.
Artur Jorge
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Roger Guedes ⚽, Alaaeldin A. (A),
22', Al Minhali A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Roger Guedes ⚽, Alaaeldin A. (A),
45+2', 0 - 3, Roger Guedes ⚽, Tiago Silva (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', van Beek S. ↓, Jorge A. ↑,
46', Al Wadie M. ↓, Mussed A. ↑,
46', El Jemili J. ↓, Balah M. ↑,
56', 1 - 3, Balah M. ⚽, Antonucci F. (A),
58', Muftah K. 🟨,
59', Mutasem M. ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
65', 1 - 4, Wesley ⚽, Tiago Silva (A),
73', van Amersfoort P. ↓, Mohammed A. ↑,
75', Alaaeldin A. ↓, Ahmed H. ↑,
75', Al Minhali A. ↓, Moustafa Asar ↑,
79', Ellethy S. 🟨,
80', 1 - 5, Roger Guedes (Pen),
82', Yousif A. ↓, Saleh M. ↑,
82', Gabriel Pereira ↓, Al Qahtani A. ↑,
86', Gaber J. ↓, Mahajna A. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Al-Shahania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Al-Rayyan has had a series of away games.
In this match, Al-Rayyan is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shahania won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Rayyan - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.24%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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Ellethy S. (G) 
Simo 
van Beek S. 
Al Wadie M. 
Antonucci F. 
Amaro A. 
Gabriel Pereira 
Balah M. 
Diakite D. 
Sayyar M. 
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