Match Info

QSL - Round 14

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)

Referee: Al Athbah A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Qatar	Al Kass Four, Shoof


	Al Duhail		Al-Rayyan

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.6	2.38
	2.7	3.91	2.35
	2.62	3.86	2.33
	2.5	3.5	2.3
	2.56	3.6	2.26	Watch
	2.5	3.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.31)	3.71 ↓ (3.73)	2.34 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Duhail
35.8%

Draw
24.8%

Al-Rayyan
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

24.6%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

23.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Duhail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Rayyan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Duhail - Al Rayyan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zakaria S. (G) 5. Al Rawi B. 21. Castelletto J. 22. Bamba I. 18. Al Brake S. 12. Boudiaf K. (C) 19. Bourigeaud B. 8. Edmilson Junior 34. Soumare B. 77. Boulbina A. 9. Piatek K.	57. Abunada M. (G) 21. Yousif A. 13. Amaro A. 20. Mahajna A. 12. Al Minhali A. 40. Gregore 77. Tiago Silva 6. Hatem A. (C) 10. Roger Guedes 19. Rodrigo 7. Wesley
Substitutes
29. Al Abdulla R. 14. Al Minhali G. 4. Aymen Y. 30. Burke B. (G) 36. Friakh A. 25. Hamza M. 96. Hassan A. (G) 81. Jamshid T. 15. Luiz Ceara 7. Mohammed I.	25. Abouelela M. 3. Ahmed H. 30. Alaaeldin A. 94. Al Qahtani A. 14. Bader A. 22. Beldi S. (G) 8. Gaber J. 5. Garcia D. 31. Mazen S. (G) 55. Saleh M. 17. Surag M.
Coaches
Belmadi D.	Artur Jorge

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Al Rawi B. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Boulbina A. ⚽, Bourigeaud B. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Wesley ⚽, Al Minhali A. (A),
36', Edmilson Junior 🟨,
36', Bourigeaud B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Al Minhali A. 🟨,
59', Al Minhali A. ↓, Ahmed H. ↑,
65', Gregore 🟨,
77', Hatem A. ↓, Gaber J. ↑,
84', Yousif A. ↓, Surag M. ↑,
85', Rodrigo ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
85', Mahajneh A. ↓, Saleh M. ↑,
87', Garcia D. 🟨,
88', Soumare B. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al Duhail may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Duhail won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Rayyan	4	3	1	0	7:2	5	10
5	Al Duhail	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Duhail
Super Cup UAE Qatar
23.01.26	Al-Wahda - Al Duhail	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
19.01.26	Umm-Salal - Al Duhail	3:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
15.01.26	Al-Wakrah - Al Duhail	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Shahania - Al Duhail	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Al Duhail - Qatar SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTW
- Al-Rayyan SC
Qatar QSL Cup
21.01.26	Al-Khor - Al-Rayyan	2:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
17.01.26	Al-Rayyan - Al-Shamal	0:1 ✺
06.01.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Rayyan	1:3 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Rayyan	2:2 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
23.12.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Rayyan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL Cup
28.10.25	Al Duhail - Al-Rayyan	1:3
Qatar QSL
28.08.25	Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail	1:0
Qatar Emir Cup
14.05.25	Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail	3:2 penalties
Qatar QSL
23.01.25	Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail	0:0
Qatar QSL Cup
04.10.24	Al Duhail - Al-Rayyan	1:0
Qatar QSL
16.08.24	Al Duhail - Al-Rayyan	4:0
31.03.24	Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail	2:0

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