The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Shorta Baghdad 61.8%
Draw 22.7%
Al-Kahraba 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
23.9%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
23%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Al-Kahraba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kahraba than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Al Shorta Baghdad - Al Kahraba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Yahia Alwan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 0, Basim A. ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 4.
Al-Shorta is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Al-Kahraba has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Al-Kahraba could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Al-Shorta has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The betting markets point to Al-Shorta as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Al-Shorta in today's match, at odds of 1.47.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Al-Shorta has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:4 (averaging 1.7:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Shorta against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Al Shorta
8
4
3
1
9:4
5
15
16
Al Kahraba
8
1
4
3
6:10
-4
7
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Shorta Baghdad - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 60.53%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.
Iraq
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