The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Naft 47.3%
Draw 28.9%
Al-Kahraba 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.5%
29.4%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28.9%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Al-Kahraba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kahraba than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd and 18th in the Stars League (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 3.
Al-Naft has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Al-Kahraba has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Al-Kahraba may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Al-Naft is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Al-Naft has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:15 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Naft against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Al Naft
11
6
4
1
13:5
8
22
18
Al Kahraba
11
1
5
5
7:13
-6
8
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Kahraba - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.