Match Info

Stars League - Round 13

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports


	Al-Naft		Al-Kahraba

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.15	4.95
	1.81	2.99	4.83	Watch
	1.75	2.9	4.6
	1.74	3.08	4.96	Watch
	1.76	3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	4.82 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
51.5%

Draw
29.8%

Al-Kahraba
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

28.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

26%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Al-Kahraba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kahraba than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Al Naft - Al Kahraba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Khaled A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Al-Naft is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15
16	Al Kahraba	8	1	4	3	6:10	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Naft - Diyala	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Newroz - Al-Naft	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Najaf - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
23.12.25	Al-Naft - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLTT
- Al-Kahraba
Iraqi Premier League
14.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Zakho	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Kahraba	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Kahraba	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
23.12.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Qasim	awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWL?

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
19.06.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Naft	1:1
02.01.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Naft	0:0
01.04.24	Al-Naft - Al-Kahraba	3:2
11.11.23	Al-Kahraba - Al-Naft	2:2
21.07.23	Al-Kahraba - Al-Naft	0:1
25.02.23	Al-Naft - Al-Kahraba	0:3
28.04.22	Al-Kahraba - Al-Naft	0:1

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