Match Info

IRAQ: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 22 December 2023, Friday


	Al-Shorta Baghdad		Naft Al-Wasat

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.1	8.25
	1.34	4.05	8.48
	1.34	4.05	8.48
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.27	4.35	11.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	4.15 ↑ (3.75)	8.79 ↑ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta Baghdad
67.9%

Draw
21.8%

Naft Al-Wasat
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

23%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shorta Baghdad's performance.

Naft Al-Wasat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Wasat than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Al Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al Wasat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Cup and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Shorta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Naft Al-Wasat is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Shorta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Shorta is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Shorta to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Shorta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Shorta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
19.12.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Najaf	2:0 ✺
15.12.23	Al-Hudood - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:4 ✺
08.12.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Zakho	2:0 ✺
05.12.23	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWL
- Naft Al-Wasat
Iraqi Premier League
19.12.23	Naft Al-Wasat - Al-Minaa	0:0 ✺
15.12.23	Naft Al-Wasat - Al-Talaba	0:0 ✺
05.12.23	Arbil - Naft Al-Wasat	1:0 ✺
09.11.23	Naft Al-Wasat - Duhok	0:0 ✺
03.11.23	Najaf - Naft Al-Wasat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
29.10.22	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al-Wasat	1:1
30.10.21	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Naft Al-Wasat	3:0

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