Match Info

Stars League - Round 32

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Al-Shorta Baghdad		Al-Naft

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.9	6.1
	1.46	3.85	5.9
	1.46	4.09	6.05	Watch
	1.43	3.76	7.33
	1.38	3.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	3.82 ↓ (4.05)	6.23 ↓ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shorta Baghdad
62.2%

Draw
23.4%

Al-Naft
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22.6%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.4%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Al Shorta Baghdad - Al Naft Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Abdulkadhim S. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Al-Shorta is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Shorta won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shorta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Shorta	8	4	3	1	9:4	5	15
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
26.04.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Shorta Baghdad	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Qasim	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Karma - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Zawraa	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Amanat Baghdad	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWTLW
- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
27.04.26	Al-Naft - Zakho	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Al Mosul - Al-Naft	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Diyala - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Al-Naft - Arbil	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Al-Naft - Al-Gharraf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
21.03.26	Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1
15.06.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	4:0
31.10.24	Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad	0:2
25.04.24	Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:1
02.12.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	0:1
07.04.23	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:0
24.10.22	Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:2

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