Match Info

Stars League - Round 6

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Al Talaba Stadium (Baghdad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Al-Talaba		Naft Maysan

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.35	4.25
	1.19	5.76	13.94	Watch
	1.71	3.42	4.53
	1.74	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.92)	3.97 ↑ (3.1)	6.78 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Talaba
61.2%

Draw
24.5%

Naft Maysan
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

29.3%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.4%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Talaba's performance.

Naft Maysan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naft Maysan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Talaba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Maysan than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Maysan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Talaba - Naft Maysan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Mezher M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 2 - 0, ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 0.

Al-Talaba has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Naft Maysan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Talaba will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Talaba won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Talaba won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Talaba
Iraqi Premier League
26.10.25	Najaf - Al-Talaba	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Al-Talaba - Duhok	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Al-Naft - Al-Talaba	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Talaba	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Al-Talaba - Zakho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTTW
- Naft Maysan
Iraqi Premier League
27.10.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Amanat Baghdad - Naft Maysan	4:1 ✺
26.09.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Gharraf	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Newroz - Naft Maysan	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Minaa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
28.04.25	Al-Talaba - Naft Maysan	1:1
08.02.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Talaba	1:0
04.11.23	Al-Talaba - Naft Maysan	0:4
25.10.22	Al-Talaba - Naft Maysan	0:1
02.06.22	Al-Talaba - Naft Maysan	2:2
05.03.20	Al-Talaba - Naft Maysan	2:1

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