The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karbala 22.5%
Draw 27.1%
Al-Talaba 50.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.8%
28.4%
46.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
27.5%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karbala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Al-Talaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Talaba than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Karbala - Al Talaba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 11th).
Karbala has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Al-Talaba have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Al-Talaba could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Al-Talaba holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Karbala has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:6 (averaging 0.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Karbala against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Al Talaba
11
3
5
3
11:14
-3
14
20
Karbala
11
1
3
7
9:22
-13
6
Last Results with these Odds
Al-Talaba - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 46.8%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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