Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 8 January 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Al-Taraji		Ohud Medina

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.12	3.35	2.24
	3.06	3.35	2.24
	3.1	3.75	1.91
	3.18	3.18	2.16
	3.1	3.75	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.4)	3.4 ↓ (3.6)	2.09 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Taraji
29.2%

Draw
26.9%

Ohud Medina
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Taraji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Taraji's form might have worsened.

Ohud Medina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ohud Medina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taraji than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Taraji, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ohud Medina than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ohud Medina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Al Taraji - Ohud Medina Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Taraji will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ohud will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ohud: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Al-Taraji has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ohud is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ohud will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taraji Club
Saudi Division 1
02.01.24	Al-Qaisumah - Al-Taraji	3:1 ✺
27.12.23	Al-Taraji - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	0:1 ✺
19.12.23	Al Jandal - Al-Taraji	2:1 ✺
12.12.23	Al-Taraji - Al-Kholood	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	Al-Batin - Al-Taraji	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Ohud Medina
Saudi Division 1
02.01.24	Ohud Medina - Al-Adalh	1:1 ✺
27.12.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Qaisumah	1:1 ✺
18.12.23	Al-Qadisiya - Ohud Medina	1:1 ✺
12.12.23	Ohud Medina - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Al-Safa - Ohud Medina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Taraji Club
Saudi Division 2
28.10.26	Al Nairyah - Al-Taraji	✺

Al-Taraji - Ohud Medina