Match Info

Stars League - Round 8

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa


	Al-Zawraa		Al-Gharraf

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.75	6.25
	1.42	3.85	6.3
	1.43	3.9	6.42
	1.46	3.87	6.78	Watch
	1.41	3.85	6.35
	1.51	3.78	6.39	Watch
	1.42	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	3.84 ↑ (3.45)	6.38 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
62.5%

Draw
23.4%

Al-Gharraf
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.1%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Zawraa's performance.

Al-Gharraf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Zawraa - Al Gharraf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Qasim M. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Ahmed H. ⚽, Abdulkareem H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Zawraa has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Gharraf has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Zawraa is a strong favorite.

We predict that Al-Zawraa will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Zawraa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18
19	Al Gharraf	8	1	2	5	4:12	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
10.09.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Kahraba	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Al Mosul - Al-Zawraa	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Al-Zawraa - Zakho	4:0 ✺
25.08.26	Al-Zawraa - Naft Maysan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTWW
- Al-Gharraf SC
Iraqi Premier League
12.09.26	Diyala - Al-Gharraf	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Shorta Baghdad	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Gharraf	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Gharraf	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Al-Gharraf - Newroz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
17.03.26	Al-Gharraf - Al-Zawraa	0:1
05.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Gharraf	0:0

Upcoming Matches