Match Info

IRAQ: Stars League - Round 15

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Al-Zawraa		Al-Hudood

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.5	8
	1.31	4.63	9.43	Watch
	1.28	4.65	9.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)	4.59 ↑ (4.2)	9.04 ↑ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
70.1%

Draw
19.8%

Al-Hudood
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

20.6%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Zawraa's performance.

Al-Hudood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hudood than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Al Zawraa - Al Hudood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Nabeel K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Da Costa R. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Karim S. (Own goal),
83', 🟥,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Al-Zawraa in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Al-Hudood is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Al-Hudood have a series of home games.

In this match Al-Zawraa is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Al-Zawraa to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Zawraa won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Zawraa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
15.01.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Naft	3:1 ✺
10.01.25	Al-Kahraba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	3:1 ✺
10.12.24	Al-Zawraa - Karbala	3:1 ✺
05.12.24	Naft Al-Basra - Al-Zawraa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWT
- Al-Hudood SC
Iraqi Premier League
13.01.25	Al-Hudood - Diyala	1:0 ✺
09.01.25	Naft Maysan - Al-Hudood	3:1 ✺
03.01.25	Al-Hudood - Al-Qasim	2:4 ✺
28.12.24	Al-Hudood - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya	2:3 ✺
12.12.24	Al-Hudood - Duhok	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
26.06.24	Al-Zawraa - Al-Hudood	2:0
10.11.23	Al-Hudood - Al-Zawraa	0:1
10.07.23	Al-Hudood - Al-Zawraa	0:1
19.02.23	Al-Zawraa - Al-Hudood	2:2
28.11.20	Al-Hudood - Al-Zawraa	1:2

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