Match Info

Stars League - Round 37

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday


	Al-Zawraa		Al-Naft

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.59	3.56	4.94
	1.82	3.17	4.36	Watch
	1.67	3.2	4.8
	1.6	3.52	5.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.8)	3.37 ↑ (3.19)	4.81 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Zawraa
54.3%

Draw
26.9%

Al-Naft
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

28.5%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.3%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Al Zawraa - Al Naft Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Moses A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 2.

In recent matches, Al-Zawraa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Naft's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Naft may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Zawraa is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Zawraa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18
6	Al Naft	8	4	3	1	9:5	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
20.05.26	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Al-Zawraa	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Qasim	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Al-Minaa - Al-Zawraa	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Al-Talaba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Zawraa - Duhok	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWT
- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
19.05.26	Al-Naft - Duhok	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Minaa	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Naft	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Al-Naft - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Naft	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
01.02.26	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	0:0
02.07.25	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	2:1
15.01.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Naft	3:1
04.07.24	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	1:3
31.12.23	Al-Zawraa - Al-Naft	1:1
24.04.23	Al-Naft - Al-Zawraa	1:2
25.11.22	Al-Zawraa - Al-Naft	2:2

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