Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Alashkert		HJK

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	2.05
	3.4	3.2	2.15
	3.65	3.2	2.15
	3.6	3.1	2.05
	3.87	3.18	2.12
	3.4	3	2
	3.64	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.36)	3.18 ↓ (3.31)	2.09 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alashkert
25.8%

Draw
29.4%

HJK
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

21.3%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alashkert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	51.6%	35.5%

Alashkert - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Alashkert will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). HJK will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 51.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Alashkert is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HJK is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alashkert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

HJK will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
27.09.21	Alashkert - BKMA Yerevan	2:1 ✺
Armenian Super Cup
24.09.21	Alashkert - Ararat	1:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
20.09.21	Alashkert - Noravank	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.09.21	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Alashkert	4:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
11.09.21	Ararat - Alashkert	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTLL
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.09.21	HJK - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
22.09.21	HJK - HIFK	0:2 ✺
19.09.21	Honka - HJK	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.09.21	HJK - LASK Linz	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
11.09.21	Inter Turku - HJK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLW

Upcoming Matches