Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 23

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	HJK		Inter Turku

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.65
	2.45	3.3	2.72	Watch
	2.57	3.53	2.81
	2.54	3.4	2.74	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.7
	2.52	3.32	2.68	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.33)	3.34 ↓ (3.39)	2.71 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
37.4%

Draw
28%

Inter Turku
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

HJK - Inter Turku Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Inter Turku will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Turku: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Tie (3.40) (votes: 79%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Markovic M. (G) 13. Simojoki K. 6. Tikkanen V. (C) 3. Cissokho T. 14. Montano L. 32. Gueye M. 8. Mentu P. 22. Moller L. 11. Kirilov M. 29. Haarala S. 9. Borchers M.	1. Huuhtanen E. (G) 5. Granlund A. (C) 22. Kuittinen L. 30. Amankwah Y. 2. Niska J. 4. Ahiabu P. 17. Ampofo B. 7. Sjogrell H. 8. Yli-Kokko J. 16. Jephta C. 10. Conteh A.
Substitutes
17. Alho N. 31. Bogicevic M. 7. Cicale A. 15. Kallinen J. 26. Lappalainen L. 24. Levealahti E. 10. Lingman L. 1. Ost J. (G) 20. Pukki T.	11. Botue J. 6. Ivanov R. 35. Kiiskila E. 14. Laine J. 34. Prokop L. 33. Suso M. 24. Tauriainen J. 9. Tuominen J. 12. Vuorjoki E. (G)
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Vasara V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Kuittinen L. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Ahiabu P. ⚽, Granlund A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kirilov M. ↓, Kallinen J. ↑,
46', Gueye M. ↓, Cicale A. ↑,
53', Jephta C. ↓, Suso M. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Borchers M. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
67', Yli-Kokko J. ↓, Laine J. ↑,
67', Sjogrell H. ↓, Tuominen J. ↑,
68', Moller L. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
79', Montano L. ↓, Alho N. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Simojoki K. ⚽, Alho N. (A),
87', Granlund A. 🟨,
87', Granlund A. ↓, Tauriainen J. ↑,
87', Ampofo B. ↓, Botue J. ↑,
89', Mentu P. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

HJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in HJK: Ezeh D. (Broken hipbone) Toivonen E. (Injury) Veteli J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.2:1.8).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

Inter Turku: 44.5% HJK: 12.72%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter Turku	26	13	10	3	32:18	14	49
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Ilves - HJK	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	HJK - Gnistan	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	HJK - FF Jaro	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Motherwell - HJK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL
- Inter Turku
Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.08.26	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Copenhagen - Inter Turku	4:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.08.26	TPS - Inter Turku	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Inter Turku - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
05.09.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.06.26	HJK - Inter Turku	3:3
29.04.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
30.01.26	Inter Turku - HJK	1:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.10.25	HJK - Inter Turku	1:1
23.09.25	Inter Turku - HJK	0:0
04.08.25	HJK - Inter Turku	1:4

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