Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Alashkert Stadium (Yerevan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Alashkert		West Armenia

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7
	1.33	4.87	8.8
	1.32	4.68	8.47	Watch
	1.3	4.6	8.5
	1.29	4.6	9.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.55)	4.75 ↑ (4.03)	8.43 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alashkert
69.9%

Draw
19.3%

West Armenia
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

22.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

16.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alashkert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alashkert's performance.

West Armenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and West Armenia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (-26.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alashkert that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Armenia than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Armenia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Alashkert - West Armenia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alashkert will win (votes: 2 - 50%). West Armenia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. West Armenia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alashkert won 1.

In recent matches, Alashkert has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

West Armenia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alashkert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alashkert is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alashkert won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alashkert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
10.05.25	Shirak Gyumri - Alashkert	4:0 ✺
02.05.25	Alashkert - Gandzasar	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Ararat - Alashkert	3:2 ✺
11.04.25	Alashkert - Urartu Yerevan	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Pyunik - Alashkert	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLTT
- FC West Armenia
Armenian Premier League
09.05.25	West Armenia - Ararat-Armenia	Ararat-Armenia awarded ✺
03.05.25	Urartu Yerevan - West Armenia	8:0 ✺
23.04.25	West Armenia - Pyunik	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	West Armenia - Ararat	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Noah Yerevan - West Armenia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 ?LLWL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
31.10.24	West Armenia - Alashkert	2:0
28.09.24	Alashkert - West Armenia	0:2
18.04.24	Alashkert - West Armenia	1:2
10.12.23	West Armenia - Alashkert	1:1
04.10.23	Alashkert - West Armenia	2:0
07.08.23	West Armenia - Alashkert	1:4
Armenian Cup
05.10.22	West Armenia - Alashkert	1:4

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