The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Urartu Yerevan 74.7%
Draw 16%
West Armenia 9.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.5%
18.8%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
13.2%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urartu Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urartu Yerevan's performance.
West Armenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (-26.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Urartu Yerevan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Armenia than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Armenia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Urartu Yerevan - West Armenia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Urartu (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Urartu (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matinyan G. (G) 3. Piloyan E. 5. Putsko A. 60. Tikhiy D. 99. Ayvazyan K. 22. Mirzoyan M. 8. Aghasaryan N. 30. Bruno Michel 9. Palienko M. 14. Polyarus A. 10. Melkonyan K. (C)
91. Umreyan M. (G) 6. Granado J. 59. Blake R. 4. Smbatyan E. 3. Kartashyan A. 14. Aventisyan A. 17. Ayunts T. 36. Makhsudyan V. 27. Petrosyan D. 33. Racines Y. 20. Sevilla M.
Substitutes
6. Alef Santos 2. Gunko A. 53. Harutyunyan D. 23. Kaloukian N. 88. Margaryan Z. 42. Melikhov A. (G) 19. Melikyan A. 92. Mishiev A. (G) 7. Mkrtchyan S. 77. Movsesyan E. 90. Polyakov O. 55. Simonyan E.
80. Chimezie S. V. 23. Darbinyan I. 77. Estamirov M. 66. Idris S. 22. Junior A. 1. Lyansberg E. (G) 99. Sargsyan D. 18. Yeghiazaryan A. 19. Yusuf I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Melkonyan K. ⚽, Mirzoyan M. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Putsko A. ⚽, Bruno Michel (A),
23', 3 - 0, Aghasaryan N. ⚽, Polyarus A. (A),
30', 4 - 0, Melkonyan K. ⚽, Polyarus A. (A),
34', 5 - 0, Ayvazyan K. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
39', Racines Y. 🟨,
44', 6 - 0, Putsko A. ⚽, Polyarus A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mirzoyan M. ↓, Mkrtchyan S. ↑,
46', Palienko M. ↓, Alef Santos ↑,
46', Aghasaryan N. ↓, Gunko A. ↑,
54', Tikhiy D. ↓, Melikyan A. ↑,
56', 7 - 0, Melkonyan K. ⚽,
64', Kartashyan A. ↓, Chimezie S. V. ↑,
64', Racines Y. ↓, Estamirov M. ↑,
70', Putsko A. ↓, Kaloukian N. ↑,
71', Makhsudyan V. ↓, Idris S. ↑,
76', 8 - 0, Gunko A. ⚽,
Preview
Urartu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
West Armenia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
West Armenia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Urartu has had a series of away games.
In this match, Urartu is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urartu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Urartu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).