The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alavés B 49%
Draw 28.2%
Gernika 22.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
28.3%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
27.6%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alavés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Alavés B - Gernika Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Lopez I. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés B won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Gernika may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Alavés B for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Alavés B has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alavés B against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).