The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gernika 42%
Draw 30.2%
Sestao 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
29.8%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42%
31%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Gernika aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Gernika - Sestao Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Ortiz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
87', 1 - 1, Castillo Marcilla A. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, Rojo J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 0.
In recent outings, Gernika has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sestao shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Gernika could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Gernika has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:18 (averaging 0.7:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gernika against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 0.4:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sestao
5
4
0
1
7:3
4
12
6
Gernika
5
2
2
1
12:5
7
8
Last Results with these Odds
Gernika - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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