Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Alavés B		Zaragoza B

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.68	3.3	4.65
	1.67	3.38	5.17	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.74	3.65	4.52
	1.62	3.4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.5)	3.39 ↓ (3.68)	5.06 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés B
55%

Draw
26.9%

Zaragoza B
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

24.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

23.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alavés B's form might have worsened.

Zaragoza B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alavés B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza B than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Alavés B - Zaragoza B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
86', 2 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
90', 🟥,
90+1', 2 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Alavés B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zaragoza B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alavés B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alavés B is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alavés B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.12.25	Utebo - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Alavés B - Náxara	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Alavés B - Beasain	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Ebro - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alavés B - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWTT
- Zaragoza B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.12.25	Zaragoza B - Beasain	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Real Unión de Irun - Zaragoza B	5:1 ✺
07.12.25	Zaragoza B - UD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Eibar B - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Zaragoza B - Ebro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.05.25	Alavés B - Zaragoza B	2:2
22.12.24	Zaragoza B - Alavés B	1:1
24.03.24	Zaragoza B - Alavés B	2:1
12.11.23	Alavés B - Zaragoza B	1:0

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