Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Alavés B		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.9
	1.57	3.64	6.23
	1.55	3.55	6.19	Watch
	1.53	3.5	6
	1.62	3.54	5.98
	1.54	3.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.65)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	6.11 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés B
59.1%

Draw
25.8%

Náxara
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

27.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25.8%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Alavés B - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Villoslada I. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Munoz E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 2, Orodea J. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Alavés B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Náxara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alavés B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alavés B is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alavés B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alavés B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.12.25	Alavés B - Beasain	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Ebro - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alavés B - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Amorebieta - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alavés B - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTTW
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.12.25	Náxara - Ejea	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Tudelano - Náxara	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Amorebieta - Náxara	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Náxara - Alfaro	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	SD Logroñés - Náxara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.01.24	Alavés B - Náxara	5:1
03.09.23	Náxara - Alavés B	0:1

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