Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Alavés B		Sestao

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.25
	3.1	2.88	2.28
	3.16	2.86	2.52
	8.13	4.33	1.38	Watch
	3.17	2.94	2.35
	3.05	2.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.03)	3.1 ↑ (3.07)	2.17 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés B
24.4%

Draw
31.1%

Sestao
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.7%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

29.3%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alavés B's form might have worsened.

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alavés B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Alavés B - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 1, Munoz E. ⚽,

Preview

Alavés B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sestao is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sestao will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alavés B won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.09.25	Eibar B - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Alavés B - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Mutilvera - Alavés B	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Alavés B - UD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.25	Tarazona - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WLLWW
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.09.25	Sestao - Náxara	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ejea - Sestao	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sestao - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Alfaro - Sestao	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sestao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.03.23	Alavés B - Sestao	0:0
15.10.22	Sestao - Alavés B	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
24.03.19	Sestao - Alavés B	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
20.12.17	Alavés B - Sestao	3:1

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