Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday


	Alavés B		Subiza

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	5.75
	1.42	4.3	6.2
	1.39	4.5	8.43
	1.37	4.32	7.85	Watch
	1.37	4.55	7.5
	1.42	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.88)	4.36 ↑ (3.3)	6.99 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alavés B
65.8%

Draw
21.1%

Subiza
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

27.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alavés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alavés B's performance.

Subiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Subiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alavés B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Subiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alavés B - Subiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Wilson Pinillos L. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Alavés B is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.11.24	Barbastro - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Alavés B - Anguiano	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alavés B	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Alavés B - SD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Calahorra - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLT
- CD Subiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
24.11.24	Subiza - Zaragoza B	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Alfaro - Subiza	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Subiza - Real Sociedad C	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	Subiza - Teruel	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Barbastro - Subiza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

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