Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Alavés B

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.1
	1.77	3.35	4.2
	1.83	3.4	4.59
	1.83	3.3	4.18	Watch
	1.78	3.34	4.52
	1.77	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.47)	3.36 ↓ (3.94)	4.3 ↓ (6.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
51.4%

Draw
27.3%

Alavés B
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.4%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.3%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenas Club de Getxo's form might have worsened.

Alavés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alavés B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenas Club de Getxo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alavés B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arenas Club de Getxo - Alavés B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Uzkudun A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arenas won 1.

Arenas in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Alavés B is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Arenas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arenas to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arenas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Arenas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.11.24	Zaragoza B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:4 ✺
26.10.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alfaro	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Real Sociedad C - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Subiza	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Barbastro - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW
- Deportivo Alavés B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.11.24	Alavés B - SD Logroñés	0:3 ✺
27.10.24	Calahorra - Alavés B	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Alavés B - Utebo	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Eibar B - Alavés B	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Alavés B - Tudelano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.04.24	Alavés B - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1
02.12.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alavés B	1:2
23.04.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alavés B	1:2
11.12.22	Alavés B - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0
23.01.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alavés B	1:1
24.10.20	Alavés B - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0
06.12.19	Alavés B - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2

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