Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 10

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Albacete B		Quintanar del Rey

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	4.75
	1.63	3.55	4.9
	1.57	3.5	5.05
	1.67	3.63	4.7	Watch
	1.61	3.5	5.22
	1.63	3.55	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.34)	3.54 ↑ (3.04)	4.92 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete B
56%

Draw
25.6%

Quintanar del Rey
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29.9%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

31.2%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albacete B's performance.

Quintanar del Rey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quintanar del Rey might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete B than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albacete B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quintanar del Rey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Albacete B - Quintanar del Rey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Navarro F. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Lorente J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 2, Rubayo N. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 2, (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
02.11.24	Manchego - Albacete B	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Albacete B - Villarrobledo	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Socuéllamos - Albacete B	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Albacete B - Villarrubia	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Tarancón - Albacete B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTWW
- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
03.11.24	Quintanar del Rey - Huracán Balazote	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Marchamalo - Quintanar del Rey	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Quintanar del Rey - Cazalegas	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Quintanar del Rey - Villacañas	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Manchego - Quintanar del Rey	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
28.01.24	Albacete B - Quintanar del Rey	2:2
10.09.23	Quintanar del Rey - Albacete B	2:1
19.02.22	Quintanar del Rey - Albacete B	3:2
24.10.21	Albacete B - Quintanar del Rey	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.05.21	Albacete B - Quintanar del Rey	0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
07.02.21	Quintanar del Rey - Albacete B	1:3
15.11.20	Albacete B - Quintanar del Rey	1:2

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