Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Manchego		Albacete B

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.82	2.72
	2.66	2.92	2.93
	3.20	2.19	3.20	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.63
	2.85	2.64	2.63
	1.99	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (1.89)	2.74 ↓ (3)	2.94 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchego
34.7%

Draw
33.9%

Albacete B
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchego's form might have worsened.

Albacete B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Albacete B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete B than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Albacete B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manchego - Albacete B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Duarte F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 1.

Manchego is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Albacete B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Manchego is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Manchego won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Manchego won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ciudad Real	5	5	0	0	8:2	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
23.05.26	Tarancón - Manchego	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Manchego - Tarancón	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Illescas - Manchego	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Manchego - Villarrobledo	1:0
19.04.26	Albacete B - Manchego	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTTWT
- Albacete B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
24.05.26	Deportivo Toledo - Albacete B	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Albacete B - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Albacete B - Villacañas	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Illescas - Albacete B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Albacete B - Manchego	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
19.04.26	Albacete B - Manchego	1:1
06.12.25	Manchego - Albacete B	1:1
16.03.25	Albacete B - Manchego	0:2
02.11.24	Manchego - Albacete B	1:2
03.04.22	Albacete B - Manchego	2:1
04.12.21	Manchego - Albacete B	1:1
20.03.21	Albacete B - Manchego	2:1

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