Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Albenga		Derthona

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.2	2.92	3.2
	2.2	2.92	3.2
	1.83	3.3	3.4
	2.04	3.36	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.69)	3.12 ↓ (3.48)	3.26 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albenga
43.7%

Draw
28.8%

Derthona
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

25.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albenga's form might have worsened.

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derthona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albenga than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albenga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derthona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Albenga is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Derthona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Albenga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Albenga is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Albenga
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.11.23	Unione Sanremo - Albenga	0:1 ✺
01.11.23	Albenga - PDHAE	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Ligorna - Albenga	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Albenga - Alba	4:1 ✺
15.10.23	Varese - Albenga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWT
- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.11.23	Derthona - Borgosesia	1:1 ✺
01.11.23	Vado - Derthona	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Derthona - Bra	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Alcione - Derthona	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Derthona - Vogherese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLTW

Albenga - Derthona

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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