The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albergaria Durit 48.5%
Draw 24.2%
Famalicão 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
23.6%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
22.9%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albergaria Durit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albergaria Durit's performance.
Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Famalicão might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albergaria Durit than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albergaria Durit that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Famalicão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Albergaria Durit - Famalicão Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Lockwood A. (G) 5. Smaili B. 2. Piazza A. 21. Ruess P. 25. Couto M. 11. Rodrigues M. 20. Costa M. 55. Ribeiro F. 19. Wesco B. 28. Luis L. (C) 6. Alexandra Henriques
1. Araujo D. (G) 23. Carabali E. 6. Machado Araujo C. L. 44. Ali P. 17. Simaes M. 7. Karoline 8. Nunes M. 19. Smith L. 21. Rodrigues L. 10. Dias R. 18. Agama Z.
Substitutes
7. Freitas A. 12. Ibrahim A. 9. Lemos S. 77. Mendes M. d. S. 97. Mocholi T. 18. Montenegro R. 27. Oliveira B. 22. Pinheiro L. (G) 13. Rodrigues A.
5. Almeida S. 50. Borges K. . Fernandes L. (G) 16. Gomes D. 30. Meriva D. 3. Nardone E. 22. Sampaio E. 77. Soares A. R. M. 4. Solis P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Smaili B. 🟨,
18', Alexandra Henriques 🟨,
26', Ruess P. 🟨,
28', Nunes M. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Karoline (Pen),
37', Wesco B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Piazza A. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
52', Machado Araujo C. L. 🟨,
59', Costa M. ↓, Mocholi T. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Wesco B. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Luis L. (Pen),
76', Smith L. ↓, Meriva D. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Agama Z. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
83', Alexandra Henriques ↓, Lemos S. ↑,
89', Nunes M. ↓, Sampaio E. ↑,
89', Rodrigues L. ↓, Borges K. ↑,
89', Luis L. ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Albergaria won 1.
Albergaria is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Famalicão has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Albergaria have a series of guest games.
Recently Famalicão have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Albergaria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5:25 (average 0.6:2.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Albergaria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).
Portugal
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Lockwood A. (G) 
Smaili B. 
Piazza A. 
Ruess P. 
Couto M. 
Carabali E. 
Ali P. 
Karoline 
Rodrigues L. 
Ibrahim A. 
Mocholi T. 
Meriva D. 
Nardone E. 
Solis P. 
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