Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 8

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Alberite		Berceo

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.37
	7	4.33	1.38
	6.41	4.31	1.36
	7.2	4.5	1.35
	7	4.33	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.82 ↑ (6.23)	4.36 ↑ (4.33)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alberite
13.2%

Draw
20.7%

Berceo
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

19.3%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alberite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Berceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alberite than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Berceo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Alberite is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Berceo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Berceo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alberite won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alberite won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alberite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.10.23	Casalarreina - Alberite	5:1 ✺
15.10.23	Alberite - River Ebro	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Calahorra B - Alberite	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Alberite - Tedeón	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Peña Balsamaiso - Alberite	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWL
- CD Berceo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.10.23	Berceo - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Oyonesa - Berceo	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Berceo - Comillas	3:1 ✺
01.10.23	Berceo - La Calzada	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Casalarreina - Berceo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
04.04.21	Berceo - Alberite	1:1
23.02.20	Alberite - Berceo	3:1
02.03.19	Berceo - Alberite	3:3

Alberite - Berceo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide