Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 20Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Berceo |
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La Calzada |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.35 |
3.3 |
2.58 |
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 |
2.54 |
3.34 |
2.54 |
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 |
2.45 |
3.51 |
2.54 |
 Watch |
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2.5 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
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2.6 |
3.33 |
2.6 |
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2.45 |
3.5 |
2.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(2.51) |
3.35 ↑
(3.1) |
2.54 ↓
(2.67) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Berceo
36.8% | Draw
27.3% | La Calzada
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Berceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-2.6%)Berceo - La Calzada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Muro M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 0.Recent performances by Berceo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).La Calzada is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.4:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Berceo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Berceo | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 12 |
| 3 | CDFC Calzada | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 | | | 21.09.25 | La Calzada - Berceo | 3:2 | | 19.01.25 | Berceo - La Calzada | 2:3 | | 18.02.24 | La Calzada - Berceo | 1:1 | | 01.10.23 | Berceo - La Calzada | 0:2 | | 23.04.23 | La Calzada - Berceo | 1:0 | | 08.01.23 | Berceo - La Calzada | 1:2 | | 13.03.22 | La Calzada - Berceo | 1:1 |
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