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Current Win Probability
Berceo 34%
Draw 28.6%
La Calzada 37.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.7%
27.9%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Berceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Berceo's form might have worsened.
La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Berceo - La Calzada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, ⚽,
83', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 0.
Berceo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Berceo has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:22 (averaging 1.3:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Berceo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 12:16 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).