Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Alcains		Arronches Benfica

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.55	2.85	2.85
	2.49	2.82	3.05
	2.46	2.78	3.01
	2.55	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.48)	2.82 ↓ (2.97)	2.9 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcains
36.3%

Draw
32.3%

Arronches Benfica
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

30.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

30.4%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcains's performance.

Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arronches Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcains that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arronches Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcains - Arronches Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, ⚽,
83', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcains
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.01.25	Elvas - Alcains	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Alcains - Fatima	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Alcains	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Alverca B - Alcains	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Alcains - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW
- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.01.25	Arronches Benfica - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Mortágua - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Arronches Benfica - Pombal	2:2 ✺
05.01.25	Elvas - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Arronches Benfica - Fatima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.09.24	Arronches Benfica - Alcains	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Alcains - Arronches Benfica	2:0
18.12.22	Arronches Benfica - Alcains	1:0

Alcains - Arronches Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide