Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Arronches Benfica		Os Marialvas

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.95	3.6
	2.1	2.78	4.01
	1.98	3.04	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.59)	2.92 ↓ (3.5)	3.8 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arronches Benfica
45%

Draw
31.1%

Os Marialvas
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.8%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.6%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arronches Benfica's form might have worsened.

Os Marialvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Os Marialvas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arronches Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Os Marialvas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arronches Benfica - Os Marialvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	Mortágua - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Arronches Benfica - Pombal	2:2 ✺
05.01.25	Elvas - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Arronches Benfica - Fatima	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Pero Pinheiro - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTWT
- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
19.01.25	Os Marialvas - Elvas	2:3 ✺
12.01.25	Fatima - Os Marialvas	4:0 ✺
05.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Os Marialvas - Alverca B	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Sertanense - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
01.09.24	Os Marialvas - Arronches Benfica	2:3

Arronches Benfica - Os Marialvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide