Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 8

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Alcains		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.85	2.6
	2.6	2.9	2.7
	2.67	2.85	2.69
				Watch
	2.61	2.89	2.63
	2.6	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.02)	2.88 ↓ (3)	2.66 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcains
34.6%

Draw
31.4%

SB Castelo Branco
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

30.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcains's form might have worsened.

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SB Castelo Branco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcains, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcains - SB Castelo Branco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Alcains is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SB Castelo Branco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcains could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alcains will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Alcains won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcains won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcains
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
27.10.24	Pombal - Alcains	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Leixões - Alcains	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.10.24	Os Marialvas - Alcains	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Alcains - Mortágua	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Alcains - CF Benfica	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWWW
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
27.10.24	SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	SB Castelo Branco - Arronches Benfica	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Elvas - SB Castelo Branco	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
07.09.24	Académica Coimbra - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	SB Castelo Branco - Alcains	1:1
06.11.22	Alcains - SB Castelo Branco	0:2
17.01.21	SB Castelo Branco - Alcains	1:1
14.04.19	Alcains - SB Castelo Branco	3:0

Alcains - SB Castelo Branco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide