Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Alcalá		Cala Pozuelo

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.1	6.75
	1.41	4.2	6.6
	1.4	4.3	7.05
	1.36	4.15	8.1
	1.41	4.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	4.19 ↓ (4.27)	7.02 ↓ (7.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcalá
65.3%

Draw
21.7%

Cala Pozuelo
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

21.4%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

20.7%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Cala Pozuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Cala Pozuelo aligns with the current prediction.

Alcalá - Cala Pozuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Sanchez B. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Arribas J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Sanchez B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14).

Recent matches Alcalá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cala Pozuelo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cala Pozuelo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcalá is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.04.25	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Leganés B - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Carabanchel - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alcalá - El Álamo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTWLW
- AD Cala Pozuelo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.04.25	Cala Pozuelo - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Cala Pozuelo	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Cala Pozuelo - México	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Leganés B - Cala Pozuelo	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Cala Pozuelo - Parla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Alcalá	0:4

Upcoming Matches