Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Alcalá		Tres Cantos

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.37	4.3	7.2
				Watch
	1.4	4.18	8.58
	1.37	4.3	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.53)	4.25 ↑ (3.6)	7.62 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
66.5%

Draw
21.5%

Tres Cantos
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

25.3%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

24.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Alcalá - Tres Cantos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Merchan G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Izan ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Izan ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Alcalá is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.03.25	Carabanchel - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alcalá - El Álamo	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Collado Villalba - Alcalá	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Alcalá - Galapagar	5:0 ✺
16.02.25	Trival Valderas - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW
- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.03.25	Tres Cantos - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Leganés B - Tres Cantos	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Tres Cantos - Cala Pozuelo	2:4 ✺
23.02.25	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	El Álamo - Tres Cantos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
10.11.24	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	3:1
24.03.24	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	1:2
05.11.23	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	0:1
16.03.22	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	1:0
17.11.21	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	1:0
13.01.19	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
17.12.17	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	0:1

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