Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Alcalá		Las Palmas B

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.88
	2.18	3.3	2.88
	2.2	3.3	3.12
	2.15	3.47	2.99	Watch
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.45	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.11)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	2.96 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
41.8%

Draw
27.4%

Las Palmas B
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.9%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Las Palmas B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas B than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Alcalá - Las Palmas B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Kone ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 2 - 0, Alburquerque A. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Arturo ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

Alcalá is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Las Palmas B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	RSD Alcala	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.03.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Alcalá - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tenerife B - Alcalá	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Alcalá - Elche Ilicitano	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Alcalá - Socuéllamos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLWW
- Las Palmas B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.03.26	Las Palmas B - Intercity	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Colonia Moscardó - Las Palmas B	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Las Palmas B - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Tenerife B - Las Palmas B	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Las Palmas B - Quintanar del Rey	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.10.25	Las Palmas B - Alcalá	2:0

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