Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Alcalá		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	4
	1.77	3.3	4
	1.75	3.35	4.05
	1.74	3.59	4.57
	1.74	3.48	4.44	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.76	3.83	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	4.17 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
52.3%

Draw
25.9%

Elche Ilicitano
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

27.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcalá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Alcalá - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Kone ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Sanchez B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

In recent matches, Alcalá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ilicitano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Alcalá is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	RSD Alcala	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.26	Alcalá - Socuéllamos	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Real Madrid C - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Alcalá - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Intercity - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLLW
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.02.26	Elche Ilicitano - Intercity	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Socuéllamos - Elche Ilicitano	2:5 ✺
07.02.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Elche Ilicitano	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Elche Ilicitano - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Alcalá	3:3

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