Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 14

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Alcalá		Torrejón

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.03	3.1	3.55
	2.11	3.03	3.32
	2.05	3.05	3.53
	2.03	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.78)	3.06 ↓ (3.25)	3.47 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
44.3%

Draw
29.6%

Torrejón
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcalá's form might have worsened.

Torrejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcalá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torrejón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcalá - Torrejón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Malote ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Jimenez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 2 - 1, Pradillos Castrillejo J. ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, Zotes P. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Alcalá	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Alcalá - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Alcalá - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.12.24	Torrejón - Rayo Vallecano B	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Leganés B - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
17.11.24	Torrejón - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Carabanchel - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Torrejón - El Álamo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.05.24	Alcalá - Torrejón	3:3
07.01.24	Torrejón - Alcalá	2:0
14.01.23	Alcalá - Torrejón	1:0
11.09.22	Torrejón - Alcalá	1:1
23.01.22	Alcalá - Torrejón	2:0
15.09.21	Torrejón - Alcalá	3:0
17.02.21	Torrejón - Alcalá	0:0

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