Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 25

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Alcalá		CDE Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.42	3.7	5.75
	1.43	3.87	6.39
	1.46	4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.59)	3.84 ↑ (3.74)	6.19 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
62.2%

Draw
23.3%

CDE Madrid
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

23%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.

CDE Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CDE Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Alcalá - CDE Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Alcalá is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CDE Madrid is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alcalá is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.03.23	Real Aranjuez - Alcalá	2:3 ✺
04.03.23	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
19.02.23	Alcalá - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Las Rozas - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLTW
- CDE Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.03.23	CDE Madrid - Ursaria	0:3 ✺
05.03.23	Paracuellos Antamira - CDE Madrid	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	CDE Madrid - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
19.02.23	Móstoles URJC - CDE Madrid	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	CDE Madrid - Collado Villalba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.11.22	CDE Madrid - Alcalá	0:2
27.03.22	Alcalá - CDE Madrid	0:4
28.11.21	CDE Madrid - Alcalá	1:1

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