Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Conquense		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.85	3.15	3.95
	1.98	3.11	3.83	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.86
	1.8	3.1	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.91)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	4.08 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
48.7%

Draw
29%

Alcalá
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.7%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

29.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1%)

Conquense - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 2 - 0, Olaortua I. ⚽,
90+10', 2 - 1, Portero A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Alcalá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Conquense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Conquense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Conquense	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10
10	RSD Alcala	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.01.26	Elche Ilicitano - Conquense	5:2 ✺
20.12.25	Conquense - Intercity	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Socuéllamos - Conquense	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Conquense - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Las Palmas B - Conquense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWTT
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.01.26	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Coria - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Alcalá - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Navalcarnero - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Orihuela - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.09.25	Alcalá - Conquense	2:1
Club Friendly
19.08.21	Alcalá - Conquense	0:0

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