Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	12:00	Footballclub


	Alcalá		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.20	3.40
	1.93	3.10	3.40
	1.89	3.25	3.60
	1.99	3.20	3.81
	1.98	3.23	3.66	Watch
	1.96	3.00	3.60
	2.04	3.35	3.56
	1.97	3.25	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.4)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	3.57 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
46.2%

Draw
28.4%

Real Madrid C
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid C might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcalá - Real Madrid C Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcalá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 17th in the Relegation).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Alcalá is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Alcalá has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alcalá against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	RSD Alcala	8	2	2	4	11:12	-1	8
18	Real Madrid C	8	0	5	3	1:6	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.10.26	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Alcalá - Navalcarnero	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Salamanca - Alcalá	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Alcalá - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:2 ✺
13.09.26	CD Guadalajara - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWL
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.10.26	Real Madrid C - Atlético Tordesillas	0:0 ✺
07.10.26	Real Madrid C - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Paso - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Atlético Madrid C - Real Madrid C	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid C	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.02.26	Real Madrid C - Alcalá	2:2
14.12.25	Alcalá - Real Madrid C	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.04.24	Alcalá - Real Madrid C	1:2
02.12.23	Real Madrid C - Alcalá	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.04.13	Alcalá - Real Madrid C	0:2

Alcalá - Real Madrid C