Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 3Date: 20 September 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | Footballclub |
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Alcalá |
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Gimnástica Segoviana |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.35 |
3.00 |
2.88 |
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2.05 |
3.00 |
3.25 |
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1.94 |
3.05 |
3.65 |
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2.24 |
3.05 |
3.37 |
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2.02 |
3.04 |
3.81 |
 Watch |
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2.20 |
2.95 |
3.30 |
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2.43 |
3.10 |
2.98 |
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2.13 |
3.00 |
3.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.66) |
3.02 ↓
(3.21) |
3.3 ↓
(5.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alcalá
42.1% | Draw
30.2% | Gimnástica Segoviana
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcalá's form might have worsened.Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimnástica Segoviana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcalá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Alcalá - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Lorenzo D. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Ramirez M. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, Ramirez M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', 2 - 2, Lorenzo D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 72', 3 - 2, Santiago A. ⚽,
- 77', 4 - 2, Simon L. ⚽,
- 90+5', 5 - 2, Santiago A. ⚽,
Preview
Alcalá has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).G Segoviana is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).Recently, Alcalá has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd. A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Alcalá holding a narrow advantage.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Alcalá has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.Specifically in home fixtures for Alcalá against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
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| 10 | RSD Alcala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
