Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Alcantarilla		Cartagena B

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	1.83
	3.9	3.3	1.85
	3.97	3.28	1.81
	4.17	3.42	1.77
	3.9	3.3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.69)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcantarilla
23%

Draw
27.4%

Cartagena B
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

26.6%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

23.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcantarilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Cartagena B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcantarilla - Cartagena B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
80', 1 - 1, Riley J. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Baldobar J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Alcantarilla has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cartagena B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcantarilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cartagena B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.11.24	Deportivo Marítimo - Alcantarilla	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Alcantarilla - Cieza	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Bullense - Alcantarilla	4:0 ✺
19.10.24	Alcantarilla - Bala Azul	0:3 ✺
13.10.24	Alcantarilla - Unión Molinense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLT
- Cartagena B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.11.24	Cartagena B - Caravaca	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	El Palmar - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Cartagena B - Plus Ultra	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Pulpileño - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Cartagena B - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWLT

Alcantarilla - Cartagena B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide