Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Alcantarilla		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.61
	4.17	4.08	1.66	Watch
	4.61	3.88	1.6
	7	4.3	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↓ (7.65)	4.04 ↓ (4.4)	1.57 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alcantarilla
18.4%

Draw
22.8%

Real Murcia B
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

20.7%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

20%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcantarilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcantarilla's performance.

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcantarilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcantarilla - Real Murcia B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcantarilla (votes: 1 - 50%). Murcia B (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches Alcantarilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Murcia B is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcantarilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcantarilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
30.03.25	Cartagena B - Alcantarilla	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Alcantarilla - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
19.03.25	Bala Azul - Alcantarilla	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Cieza - Alcantarilla	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alcantarilla - Bullense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WTTLT
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
30.03.25	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Minerva - Real Murcia B	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Real Murcia B - Muleño	5:0 ✺
09.03.25	El Palmar - Real Murcia B	2:5 ✺
02.03.25	Real Murcia B - Plus Ultra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
24.11.24	Real Murcia B - Alcantarilla	1:1
14.04.24	Real Murcia B - Alcantarilla	2:0
25.11.23	Alcantarilla - Real Murcia B	0:1
12.02.23	Real Murcia B - Alcantarilla	0:2
15.10.22	Alcantarilla - Real Murcia B	0:0

Upcoming Matches