Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group A - Round 36

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Alcione		Borgosesia

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.5	6.5
	1.19	5.46	10.75
	1.19	5.46	10.75
	1.25	4.6	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.59)	5.01 ↑ (3.39)	10.13 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
73.3%

Draw
17.8%

Borgosesia
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

26.6%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcione's performance.

Borgosesia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borgosesia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borgosesia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borgosesia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Foglio C. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Manuzzi F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 3 - 0, Manuzzi F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Borgosesia is Relegated to

Alcione is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borgosesia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Borgosesia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcione is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group A
14.04.24	Alcione - Bra	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Chieri - Alcione	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Gozzano - Alcione	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Alcione - Vogherese	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Lavagnese - Alcione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWWL
- Borgosesia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
07.04.24	Bra - Borgosesia	1:0 ✺
28.03.24	Borgosesia - Gozzano	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Vogherese - Borgosesia	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Borgosesia - Derthona	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Chisola - Borgosesia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
10.12.23	Borgosesia - Alcione	0:5

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