Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Giana Erminio		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.98	3.3
	2.25	2.92	3.41
	2.11	3.25	3.38	Watch
	2.13	2.96	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.09)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	3.38 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
42.4%

Draw
30.4%

Alcione
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.4%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.5%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Giana Erminio - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zenti A. (G) 26. Previtali N. 6. Ferri L. 27. Alborghetti M. 33. Albertini A. 7. Pinto D. 5. Berretta A. 14. Marotta M. 3. Nucifero T. 10. Lamesta A. 9. Akammadu F.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 25. Pirola F. 6. Ciappellano D. 5. Miculi A. 73. Scuderi G. 8. Muroni M. 23. Galli G. 18. Lopes E. 10. Pitou J. 31. Marconi M. 11. Morselli F.
Substitutes
11. Capelli A. 13. Colombara M. 19. Duca T. 97. Gabbiani G. 37. Lischetti L. 22. Mazza A. (G) 23. Occhipinti E. 4. Piazza A. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 90. Vitale V.	94. Bertolotti F. 70. Bright K. 1. Cecchini F. (G) 3. Chierichetti P. 81. Gallazzi F. 65. Giorgeschi S. 16. Lanzi J. 27. Lione M. 21. Olivieri D. 17. Rebaudo R. 7. Renault G. 29. Samele L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Albertini A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Lamesta A. ⚽,
36', Galli G. ↓, Bright K. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 1, Marconi M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Morselli F. ↓, Samele L. ↑,
46', Pitou J. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
56', Akammadu F. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
73', Albertini A. ↓, Ruffini L. ↑,
73', Nucifero T. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
78', Ferri L. 🟨,
79', Muroni M. ↓, Lanzi J. ↑,
79', Miculi A. ↓, Giorgeschi S. ↑,
83', Pinto D. ↓, Renda F. ↑,
83', Berretta A. ↓, Vitale V. ↑,
85', Lanzi J. 🟨,
90+1', Ciappellano D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Alcione may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Giana Erminio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Giana Erminio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.25	Pro Vercelli - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Giana Erminio - Novara	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Giana Erminio - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lecco - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWTL
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
17.10.25	Alcione - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Pergolettese - Alcione	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Alcione - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	Ospitaletto - Alcione	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Alcione	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.04.25	Alcione - Giana Erminio	2:2
14.12.24	Giana Erminio - Alcione	0:2
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Giana Erminio - Alcione	2:1

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