The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giana Erminio 37.4%
Draw 29.1%
Alcione 33.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.6%
28.2%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
27.8%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Giana Erminio - Alcione Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15th and 8th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).
Giana Erminio has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Alcione has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Giana Erminio has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Giana Erminio against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Alcione Milano
11
3
6
2
18:17
1
15
15
Giana Erminio
11
2
5
4
12:14
-2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Giana Erminio - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.56%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.