Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)


	Alcorcón		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5.25
	1.63	3.3	4.8
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.63	3.4	5
	1.67	3.58	5.42
	1.64	3.52	5
	1.64	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.73)	3.45 ↑ (3.08)	5.14 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
55.9%

Draw
26.4%

San Fernando
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

29.1%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

28.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Alcorcón - San Fernando Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Alcorcón is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently San Fernando have a series of home games.

In this match Alcorcón is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.09.22	Linense - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Alcorcón - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Pontevedra - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Leganés B - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
17.08.22	Alcorcón - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTWT
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.09.22	San Fernando - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Badajoz - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	San Fernando - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	San Fernando - Deportivo Toledo	3:0 ✺
10.08.22	San Fernando - Betis B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWWL

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