Match Info

Date: 11 September 2022, Sunday


	San Fernando		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.5	3.1	1.98
	3.55	3.55	1.87
	3.25	3.2	2.03
	3.96	3.22	1.99
	3.7	3.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.54)	3.26 ↓ (3.5)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
25.8%

Draw
27.9%

Ferrol
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

25%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

San Fernando - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferrol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Fernando have a series of home games.

Ferrol will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.09.22	Badajoz - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	San Fernando - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	San Fernando - Deportivo Toledo	3:0 ✺
10.08.22	San Fernando - Betis B	0:1 ✺
06.08.22	San Fernando - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWLL
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.09.22	Ferrol - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Ferrol - Compostela	4:1 ✺
10.08.22	Arenteiro - Ferrol	2:2 ✺
06.08.22	Lugo - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTL

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