Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Alcorcón B		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.35	3.06	2.08
	3.47	3.18	2.06
	3.55	3.08	2.03
	3.5	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.99)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón B
26.2%

Draw
28.9%

Alcalá
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

28.3%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.5%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcorcón B - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, ⚽,
37', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
48', 2 - 1, Portero A. ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, Malote ⚽,
72', 🟥,
74', 2 - 3, ⚽,
79', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcorcón B	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Alcorcón B - Leganés B	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Tres Cantos - Alcorcón B	2:4 ✺
16.11.24	Alcorcón B - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	El Álamo - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWWW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.12.24	Alcalá - Torrejón	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Cala Pozuelo - Alcalá	0:4 ✺
24.11.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Alcalá - Leganés B	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.04.24	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	0:1
17.01.24	Alcalá - Alcorcón B	2:1
06.03.22	Alcalá - Alcorcón B	2:2
07.11.21	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	0:0
15.12.19	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	1:1
20.01.19	Alcorcón B - Alcalá	1:0
02.09.18	Alcalá - Alcorcón B	1:2

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