The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alcorcón 49.1%
Draw 28.5%
Gimnástic de Tarragona 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
28.9%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
29.1%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcorcón's performance.
Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástic de Tarragona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcorcón that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Alcorcón - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Banuz M. (G) 22. Irurita X. 4. Mayorga A. 5. Lancho J. 17. Cuesta M. 20. Berlanga M. 6. Rivera P. 10. Vacas L. 11. Ouhdadi O. 7. Aparicio E. (C) 9. Davo
1. Ayesa G. (G) 22. Joseda 15. Jose Amo 5. Van Rijn N. 23. Royo M. (C) 8. Montalvo M. 10. Eugeni 19. Prohens J. 16. Babanzilla M. 3. Villote V. 12. Bakis S.
Substitutes
35. Arcos D. 8. Caravaca T. 30. Di Domenico N. 2. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 3. Gaixas A. 23. Ibanez R. 1. Marti O. (G) 18. Melero G. 19. Palmer D. 24. Perez L. 21. Sabina F. 26. Sangare
13. Abril V. (G) 17. Almansa A. 21. Athuman I. 6. Gabarri T. 4. Gil F. 11. Gomez D. 18. Katsushima S. 9. Marco P. 7. Sanchez B. 20. Segura C. 2. Subirats O.
Coaches
Justo F.
Campos X.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ouhdadi O. ⚽, Cuesta M. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Ouhdadi O. ⚽, Aparicio E. (A),
26', 3 - 0, Davo ⚽,
43', Vacas L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jose Amo ↓, Athuman I. ↑,
46', Eugeni ↓, Almansa A. ↑,
46', Villote V. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
47', Joseda 🟨,
51', Bakis S. 🟨,
57', Bakis S. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
58', Vacas L. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
63', Montalvo M. 🟨,
68', Van Rijn N. ↓, Marco P. ↑,
73', Aparicio E. ↓, Caravaca T. ↑,
73', Berlanga M. ↓, Ibanez R. ↑,
80', Irurita X. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
80', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Di Domenico N. ↑,
87', Babanzilla M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Alcorcón (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Gimnàstic have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Alcorcón may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Alcorcón has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Alcorcón is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Alcorcón has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:6 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alcorcón against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Alcorcon
6
3
3
0
13:4
9
12
14
Gimnastic
6
2
1
3
7:9
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Alcorcón - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.59%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Gimnástic de Tarragona - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 27.52%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Banuz M. (G) 
Ouhdadi O. 
Babanzilla M. 
Bakis S. 
Palmer D. 
Sangare 
Athuman I. 
Katsushima S. 
