Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Mérida AD		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.00	2.65
	2.38	3.05	2.70
	2.44	2.98	2.73
	2.48	3.11	2.76
	2.40	2.95	2.70
	2.49	3.14	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)	3.04 ↑ (3)	2.73 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérida AD
37.1%

Draw
29.7%

Alcorcón
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.3%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Doncel C. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Doncel C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Alcorcón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Mérida AD - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 37.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mérida AD
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Mérida AD - Betis B	2:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26	Osasuna B - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Mérida AD - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Barakaldo - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Mérida AD - Lugo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTLL
- AD Alcorcón
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Alcorcón - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Alcorcón - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.05.26	Sevilla B - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Alcorcón - Marbella	6:2 ✺
08.05.26	Cartagena - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.02.25	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	2:1
03.11.24	Alcorcón - Mérida AD	2:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.05.23	Alcorcón - Mérida AD	0:0
08.01.23	Mérida AD - Alcorcón	0:2

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